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Conditions at Table Top in October
October: Goldilocks Transition at its Peak
October might offer the best overall conditions-to-crowd ratio of the year at Table Top. The average period is back to a full 10 seconds, the average height is 4ft (1.2m), and the swell rose shows a clear return of the north-east trend: NE at 44.3%, NNE at 22.2%, ENE at 19.2%, and north/NNW adding 6.0%. This is not the biggest swell of the year, but the period and direction are right, and the lines can be exceptionally clean and powerful for a reef break of this size.
October also has the highest ideal-wind percentage of the year at 49%. The trades are still present-ENE at 30.9% and E at 24.9%-but the southeast-to-south-southwest offshore flow becomes much more common, creating glassy mornings and clean afternoons. Air temperatures remain warm at 27.4°C, water temperature is 29.1°C, and precipitation is still significant at 5.04mm/day. If you see a 10-second north-NNE groundswell lining up with a south wind in October, drop everything and go.
Average Spot conditions at Table Top in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Table Top during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Table Top for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Table Top for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Table Top.