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Conditions at Wilderness in October
October: The Sweet Spot of the Year
October combines the best wind statistics of the year with increasingly powerful swell. Average wave height is 4ft (1.2m) and the period is back up to 10.0s, giving the ocean that long-period push Wilderness needs. The direction is still not perfect, with NE (44%) and NNE (22%) dominating, but N (4%) and NNW (2%) energy is present, and the longer period helps the north component wrap into the beach with more shape than summer windswell.
With ideal wind conditions at 70%, October is the most reliable month for clean, glassy surface conditions. E (25%) and ENE (31%) blow offshore or cross-offshore, while W/NW onshore flow is minimal. Water remains warm at 29.1°C, air temp 27.4°C, and tropical showers are common. October is the month to plan around: even modest NNW/N pulses can produce surprisingly good waves under near-perfect winds.
Average Spot conditions at Wilderness in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Wilderness during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Wilderness for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Wilderness for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Wilderness.