Conditions at Arish in October
October: The Autumn Re-Awakening
October is when Arish starts to feel like a surf destination again. The average period jumps to 10.4s, the average swell height checks in at 1.3m (4-5ft), and the ideal-wind percentage rockets to 41%. The wave rose is dominated by a strong NNW component at 57%, with N at 23% and NW at 12%-a clear sign that the mid-latitude storm track is pushing active fronts and low-pressure systems closer to Western Sahara. The wind climate is also improving: NNE still leads at 37%, but NE (25%) and N (14%) are lighter overall, with much less 30-40kph pumping than in summer.
This is the classic shoulder-season scenario: the ocean is waking up, but the size has not maxed out yet. Expect punchy 3-6ft (0.9-1.8m) surf with the potential for much better when a real NW groundswell fills in. Water temperature is 20.4°C, air temps are pleasant, and the arid weather keeps the skies clear. October is a month of anticipation-and occasionally the best surf of the year.
Average Spot conditions at Arish in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Arish during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Arish for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Arish for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Arish.