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Conditions at The Pass in January
January: Summer Doldrums and Trade Wind Chaos
The heart of the Australian summer at The Pass is ruled by the monsoon trough and a humid easterly trade-wind flow. The ocean is warm - 24.5°C (76°F) water and 24.7°C (76°F) air - but sticky, with an average 4.85mm of rain per day. The swell mix is dominated by E (26.1%) and ESE (21.9%) directions, arriving at an average height of 5ft (1.5m) with a marginal 8.6s period. The true N/NE bands so beloved by this point account for barely 9.5% of the wave energy.
Wind is the bigger hurdle. The NNW-NNE quadrant - which blows onshore across this north-northeast-facing beach - accounts for 40.8% of all wind observations, while the ideal offshore S/SSW flow is clean only 13% of the time. Early mornings are often salvageable, with glassy ESE swell wrapping the point, but by 10am the seabreeze turns the surface lumpy. January is not a month to chase perfection; pick your dawn windows and keep expectations modest.
Average Spot conditions at The Pass in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at The Pass during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at The Pass for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at The Pass for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at The Pass.