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Conditions at The Pass in October
October: The Jekyll and Hyde Point
October remains one of the most unpredictable months at The Pass. The N/NE swell source is very much alive, contributing 20.1% of all wave energy, but the wind seesaw has tilted toward the north: NNW (19.3%) and NNE (11.9%) account for 31.2% of the record, with ideal offshore wind down to 14%. This is the classic summer precursor - NE swell arriving hand-in-hand with NE wind, the worst of both worlds for a north-northeast-facing point.
Swell size averages 4.9ft (1.5m) with a short-ish 8.5s period, spread across SSE (19.4%), SE (17.6%), E (13.2%) and ESE (11.5%). Air temps climb to 20.8°C (69°F) and the water warms to 21.2°C (70°F). The potential is undeniable, but patience is essential - when a low drifts into the western Tasman and drags a SW change across the coast, The Pass can be world-class before lunch.
Average Spot conditions at The Pass in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at The Pass during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at The Pass for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at The Pass for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at The Pass.