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Laje da Jagua • Statistics for October

Conditions at Laje da Jagua in October

October: Spring Trade Winds Take Over

October is the beginning of the low-quality stretch. The average swell height is still respectable at 1.8m (6ft), but the period drops back to 8.7s and the energy is increasingly short-period windswell. The swell direction is dominated by ENE (19.0%) and E (17.7%), with ESE adding 13.9%; the true S/SSW component fades to about 11%. The wind picture is the worst of the year alongside November: NE winds blow at 31.8%, with many observations in the 20-40kph range, and SSW/SW fronts still kick up onshore wind. Ideal surf wind drops to 17%. The combination of strong NE trades and shorter-period E/SE swell makes for mostly lumpy, closing-out conditions at Laje da Jagua. Water temperature is warming at 19.3°C, air averages 20.0°C, and rain is common (4.12mm/day). Only a strong cold front with a NW wind shift is worth chasing this month.

Average Spot conditions at Laje da Jagua in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Laje da Jagua during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Laje da Jagua for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Laje da Jagua for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Laje da Jagua.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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