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Rosie's Bay • Statistics for October

Conditions at Rosie's Bay in October

October: The Pacific Awakens

October is when Rosie's Bay snaps back to life in earnest. The North Pacific storm track reawakens, sending average swell heights up to 2.0m (6.6ft) with a solid 11.7s period. Swell direction remains favourable, with W (33.4%) and WSW (24.8%) leading the charge, supported by SW (9.2%) and SSW (4.0%). Ideal offshore winds blow 40% of the time, and while ESE (14.7%) and SE (12.7%) winds are still common, the increase in offshore E/NE flow creates more clean, organized sessions. The combination of building W/WSW swell and offshore dawn winds is pure magic for the bay. Air temperatures drop to 10.2°C, water cools to 11.4°C, and rainfall picks up to 6.9mm/day. As the first powerful extratropical lows march across the Pacific, expect Rosie's Bay to transform from sleepy summer spot to firing winter gem.

Average Spot conditions at Rosie's Bay in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Rosie's Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Rosie's Bay for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Rosie's Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Rosie's Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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