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Conditions at Pan Dulce in January
January: The Grovel Season Gets Going
January settles into the heart of the dry season with light offshore flow dominating - ideal winds blow 79% of the time, mostly from WNW (17.2%), W (12.2%) and NW (11.5%). The ocean, however, remains small: average swell height is 0.7m (2-3ft) with a long period of 12.8s. Swell direction is locked in from the SSW (96.6% of the time), which is well outside the preferred NE to SE window for this east-facing shoreline. As a result, Pan Dulce is clean but tiny - most waves fall in the 0.5-1m (1.5-3ft) range and need a longboard or high-volume shortboard. The onshore winds from the NE to SE quadrant are rare and very light, so the surface is often glassy. With water temperature at 28.8°C and just 1.76mm/day of rain, it is warm and pleasant, but expect to work hard for small waves.
Average Spot conditions at Pan Dulce in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pan Dulce during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pan Dulce for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pan Dulce for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pan Dulce.