Conditions at Mada's in February
February: A Slight Shift South, Still Trade-Dominated
February brings a little more variety to the swell rose. E swell leads with 29.3% and ENE is second at 27.2%, but ESE jumps to 17.6% and SE/SSE/S add another 13.8%, meaning favorable S/SE energy rises to roughly 31.4%. Unfortunately the average period drops to 6.2s, the lowest of the year, so even the better-aligned swell is short-period, average and punchy rather than powerful. Average height eases to 3.3ft (1.0m), with the bulk in the 0.5-1m range: classic small, groveling conditions.
Winds continue to blow from the NE trades, with NE at 27.5%, NNE at 23.2%, and ENE at 17.3%. Offshore N/NNW/NW/WNW flow totals 22.6% and the ideal wind frequency increases to 46%, helped by occasional NW and NNW pulses. Rainfall drops to 1.88mm/day, making it one of the driest months, while air temps hold near 27.5°C and water temps nudge up to 28.8°C. It is a month of small but clean reef waves; when the afternoon sea breeze switches to the west, the surface can stay tidy and the inside sections become rippable.
Average Spot conditions at Mada's in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mada's during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mada's for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mada's for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mada's.