Conditions at Mada's in October
October: Fading Monsoon, Growing Wind Swings
October is a transition month, and the mixing is obvious in the swell data. The swell rose becomes broader and more dissected: SW 19.1%, SSE 19.0%, SSW 17.2%, S 17.1%, WSW 16.4% and SE 7.8%. The ideal SSE/S window still accounts for 36.1%, with ESE/SE adding another 7.9%, but nearly 50% of the energy now arrives from SW/WSW directions that are less well-aligned for the SE-facing reef. Average size eases slightly to 3.9ft (1.2m), and periods slip back to 6.6s, so wave quality becomes more inconsistent and short-interval.
Windwise, October is dominated by the western quadrant: W 28.9%, WSW 23.4%, WNW 16.1% and SW 9.1%. The offshore total is 22.7%, and ideal wind falls to 37%, one of the lower marks of the year, while onshore ESE/SE/SSE/S flow totals 9.2%. Rain averages 6.53mm/day, air temp 27.5°C, water temp 29.1°C. October is a month of mixed conditions: one day the SSE swell lines up with a clean WNW breeze, the next sees walled-up, lumpy WSW swell. It is about picking the tide and the window.
Average Spot conditions at Mada's in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mada's during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mada's for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mada's for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mada's.