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Conditions at Nine Palms in October
October: The Transition Back to Clean, Glassy Surf
October is the turning point. The average swell height eases to 3.6ft (1.1m), the period stays respectable at 12.8s, and the wind quality jumps to 53% ideal-a major improvement over summer. The swell window still leans heavily on S and SSW, with 60% and 35% of the energy, respectively, with most waves stacked in the 1.5-3ft (0.5-1m) and 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) classes. Meanwhile, the wind rose shifts back toward the offshore quadrant: NNW takes the lead at 11.5%, WNW reaches 8%, NW 6.7%, and W 6.8%, creating much cleaner surfaces for the beach. Morning offshore conditions become routine again.
Air temperatures remain high at 28.1°C and the ocean is still warm at 29.4°C, while precipitation drops to 0.82mm/day compared with September. The transition means the best of both seasons: substantial summer-style S and SSW swells colliding with the returning winter wind regime. October is an excellent month for surfers who want tropical water temperatures without the usual summer chop.
Average Spot conditions at Nine Palms in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Nine Palms during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Nine Palms for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Nine Palms for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Nine Palms.