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Sayulita • Statistics for October

Conditions at Sayulita in October

October: The Sweet-Spot Transition

October is arguably the most interesting month in Sayulita. The average swell is 1.0m (3.3ft) with a period of 13.5s, and the direction begins its shift back toward the west: SW is still 50.4%, WSW 32.9%, W 7.5% and SSW 7.8%, with a hint of WNW returning at 0.9%. The mix of late tropical swells and early North Pacific groundswell can produce a variety of wave sizes, mostly in the 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) range. Wind remains pleasant by winter standards, with ideal offshore wind at 19% and NNW/N/NE flow not yet fully re-established. Water temperature is still warm at 30.1 degrees C, air 28.2 degrees C, and rainfall drops to 4.22mm/day. This is the best chance outside winter for a day when both swell direction and wind are in your favor; the window may be short, but it is full of quality.

Average Spot conditions at Sayulita in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Sayulita during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Sayulita for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Sayulita for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Sayulita.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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