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Conditions at El Transito in January
January: The Trade-Heavy Prelude
The new year opens with a smaller but still rideable pulse of South Pacific swell. Average wave heights sit around 3.3ft (1.0m) with a solid 12.2s period, placing it in the powerful long-period class for the region. The swell spread is mixed: SSW is the leading direction at 24.6%, followed by S at 20.1% and plenty of SSE/SE energy, so not every wave has the clean southwest angle El Transito wants. The majority of waves fall in the 1.6-3.3ft (0.5-1m) groveler-to-fun bracket, with just enough 3.3-4.9ft (1-1.5m) sets to keep things interesting. Winds are the limiting factor: ENE trades dominate 57.5% of the time, often blowing in the 20-30kph range, which puts a texture on the surface. The wind is ideal 44% of the time, usually when it rotates into the NNO/NO/ONO/O offshore quadrant. With dry-season sunshine and water temps around 27.1°C, January is a clean but modest start to the year.
Average Spot conditions at El Transito in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Transito during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Transito for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Transito for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Transito.