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El Transito • Statistics for October

Conditions at El Transito in October

October: The Last Big Push of the Southern Hemi Season

October is arguably the peak for pure swell angle. SSW and SW combine for an enormous 92.9% of the observed swell, with 6.2% of the SW energy in the 4.9-6.6ft (1.5-2m) range and 0.7% reaching 6.6-8.2ft (2-2.5m). Average height remains 4.3ft (1.3m), period eases slightly to 13.1s, and ideal wind sits at 58%. The trade wind regime is at its weakest, and the wind rose becomes more mixed, including some WSW and SW onshore flow that can chop things up. Rainfall peaks at 9.6 mm/day, so surfers will be working around showers and storm systems. Still, when the windows align, October can produce some of the longest, most perfectly angled waves of the year.

Average Spot conditions at El Transito in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Transito during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Transito for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Transito for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Transito.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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