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Conditions at Careneros in October
October: The Bottom of the Curve
October is a serious test of patience for Careneros surfers. The average swell height remains at 0.7m (2ft), the average period drops to 7.0s - the lowest of the year - and ideal wind conditions are stuck at 37 percent, the worst month on the calendar. The swell direction becomes a little more mixed, with the NE quadrant still dominant but N and NNE sources contributing 14.3 percent combined, a sign that the winter weather patterns are just starting to stir. Most of the energy is small, with the largest concentration in the 0.5-1m (2-3ft) range, and the wet season keeps the atmosphere unstable and rainy at 9.39mm/day. Water temperature peaks at 29.2°C, so the ocean feels warm even when the surf does not want to cooperate. Bring a groveler and a good book.
Average Spot conditions at Careneros in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Careneros during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Careneros for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Careneros for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Careneros.