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Conditions at Careneros in September
September: The Autumn Lull
September is the slowest month of the year at Careneros, and the numbers tell a blunt story. Average swell height bottoms out at 0.7m (2ft), average period falls to 7.4s, and ideal wind drops to just 38 percent. The NE swell direction remains present - 87.0 percent - but it is overwhelmingly small: 17.4 percent of the waves never even reach 0.5m, and 55.1 percent sit in the 0.5-1m (2-3ft) range. This is the peak of the wet season, with the ITCZ parked right overhead, light variable winds and 8.33mm/day of rain. Although hurricane activity is ramping up, the swell angles often favour other parts of the Caribbean, leaving Careneros waiting for a fortunate alignment. When the right system does push NE energy in, it can be a pleasant surprise, but expectations should stay low.
Average Spot conditions at Careneros in September
Swell history for September
Wind history for September
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Careneros during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Careneros for your next trip in September.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Careneros for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Careneros.