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Lucky Point • Statistics for October

Conditions at Lucky Point in October

October: The Size Comes Back

October is a transition month where the northeast monsoon begins to reawaken, and the surf size steps up noticeably. Average wave height jumps to 4-5ft (1.4m), the period reaches 9.6 seconds -- right at the edge of feeling powerful -- and the swell window shifts to NE (41.6%) and ENE (31.4%). That extra size comes with a price: the NE/ENE winds that generate the swell also blow onshore, and ideal wind drops to 20%. Still, 20% is far better than the winter months ahead, and the last pulses of the southwest monsoon can still deliver clean days.

When the wind does swing offshore, Lucky Point offers proper head-high waves in the 4-6ft (1.2-1.8m) range with longer-period lines and real push. Rain increases to 12.24 mm/day, water temperature is a warm 29.2°C, and air temps average 27.6°C.

Average Spot conditions at Lucky Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Lucky Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Lucky Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Lucky Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Lucky Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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