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Conditions at Manangat in October
October: The Northeast Monsoon Takes Over
October is the turning point. The swell rose switches back to a strong NNE signal at 36.0 percent, with N at 26.2 percent and NNW at 15.3 percent. Average height grows to 3-4ft (1.1m) and period lengthens to 7.7s, so the ocean has more push and more order. The SW swell is still present at just under 9 percent combined, which can add an occasional direct pulse.
Winds respond to the changing pressure pattern. NNE and NE together approach 33 percent of observations, and ideal offshore wind days jump to 37 percent. Rainfall drops to 7.44mm per day, water temperature remains warm at 28.9°C, and air temperature averages 25.3°C.
October is the first month where Manangat combines significant size, solid period and clean offshore wind on a regular basis. The direction is mostly north-northeast, which still is not ideal for the SW-facing pocket, but the return of the NE monsoon makes it the start of the main season. Scores will come to those who know where the north swell refracts around the headland.
Average Spot conditions at Manangat in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manangat during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manangat for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manangat for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manangat.