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Conditions at Pencit Reef in January
January: Full-On Northeast Monsoon
January is the heart of the northeast monsoon, and Pencit Reef sees a relentless supply of NE and ENE swells. The wave rose shows 57.4% of the energy from NE and 30.4% from ENE, with average heights around 1.7m (5.6ft) and periods of 9.5s - a punchy, powerful combo on paper. Most swells arrive in the 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft) range, with a healthy slab of 2-2.5m (6.5-8ft) groundswell mixed in.
The catch is wind. The same NE monsoon that feeds the swell is also blowing directly onshore. N through ENE winds account for over 80% of the observations, with a strong 20-40kph core, and true offshore S-SW flow is nearly absent - only 3% of the time. This leads to lumpy, wind-blown, sectiony surf even with good size. If a winter high-pressure system slackens and a southerly land breeze appears in the early morning, the reef can fire. But expect to battle the monsoon most days. Water temperature is a warm 27.7°C and air temps hover around 27°C with 16.3mm/day of rain - no wetsuit needed, just patience.
Average Spot conditions at Pencit Reef in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pencit Reef during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pencit Reef for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pencit Reef for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pencit Reef.