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Conditions at Ansteys in October
October: Spring Storminess and Tricky Wind
October brings a mix of solid swell and deteriorating wind consistency. The average height is 5-6ft (1.8m), the period drops to 9.2s, and ideal wind windows fall to just 20%. The swell direction remains healthy: SSE (17.1%), SE (15.4%), E (15.9%), S (15.9%), and ENE (14.6%) all share the load. The 6-8ft (2-2.5m) class is still well supplied, with ENE (5.9%) and S (5.7%) doing the heavy lifting, so you cannot discount the month for size.
What hurts October is the return of summer wind patterns. NE trade flow escalates to 22.6%, SSW stays high at 19.7%, and the W/NW offshore sector shrinks dramatically. Onshore E/ESE/SE/SSE flow climbs back to around 13%. With air temperature at 20.9°C, water at 21.9°C, and rainfall rising to 3.31mm/day, it is a month of passing fronts and showers. Good surf is still possible, but you have to be opportunistic and read the pressure charts carefully.
Average Spot conditions at Ansteys in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ansteys during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ansteys for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ansteys for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ansteys.