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Conditions at Melkbosstrand in July
July: Peak Winter Punch
July is statistically the biggest month of the year at Melkbosstrand. The average swell reaches around 9-10ft (2.9m) and the period peaks at 12.6s, meaning the beach is constantly under the influence of powerful, long-period groundswell. The largest slice of energy comes again from SW (18.4%) and WSW (9.8%), with W (2.6%) and even NW (0.3%) adding to the west-facing swell window. If you want XL, this is the month most likely to deliver it; the over-8ft-plus categories stack up across SW, WSW and W.
July's weather is wild, wet and wintry. Air temperatures bottom out around 11.4°C, rainfall is 3.81mm/day, and water temperature sits at 14.2°C. The wind rose shows a big NNW flow (18.6%) as storm fronts approach, but the ideal wind ratio is at its yearly high of 52%, thanks to a frequent SSE (13.2%) and SE (8.5%) clocking behind those fronts. The key is timing: score the windows just after a low-pressure system passes and Melkbosstrand turns on with glassy, powerful, pumping surf. Let the storm fronts clear and the ocean will be alive.
Average Spot conditions at Melkbosstrand in July
Swell history for July
Wind history for July
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Melkbosstrand during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Melkbosstrand for your next trip in July.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Melkbosstrand for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Melkbosstrand.