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Melkbosstrand • Statistics for May

Conditions at Melkbosstrand in May

May: The Cold Front Machine Turns On

May is a turning point for surfers at Melkbosstrand. The average swell height climbs to about 8-9ft (2.6m), average period holds at a solid 12.4s, and the direction spread becomes much more west-friendly. SW remains the workhorse at 25.7%, but WSW surges to 11.9%, W reaches 2.1%, and WNW appears at 0.6% - all the optimal swell directions for this west-facing beach are now firing. You also see the highest frequency of waves in the 6-8ft (2-2.5m) range, with respectable amounts of 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) energy in the mix.

Meteorologically, the cold front conveyor belt of the southern winter has switched on. Frontal lows race eastward across the South Atlantic, and their associated pre-frontal NNW-NW winds show up in the wind rose at 17.2% for NNW and 6.8% for NW. The beauty of May is that post-frontal SE/S flow still cleans up quickly - ideal wind sits at 48%. Rain increases to 2.41mm/day, air temps cool to 15.4°C, and water temperature is 14.9°C. This is the month to start chasing groundswell.

Average Spot conditions at Melkbosstrand in May

Swell history for May

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for May

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Melkbosstrand during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Melkbosstrand for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Melkbosstrand for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Melkbosstrand.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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