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The Dunes • Statistics for October

Conditions at The Dunes in October

October: Summer Winds Creep Back

October marks the start of the seasonal slide toward summer. Average swell height eases to 2.4m (7.9ft) and periods drop back to 11.6s, though there are still some long-period pulses from lingering winter storms. The swell direction is once again dominated by SW at 20.0 percent and SSW at 15.7 percent, while the preferred WSW/W/WNW/NW window shrinks to around 9.3 percent. S swell also re-establishes itself at 10.3 percent, adding more south in the mix.

The wind pattern turns less favorable, with ideal conditions down to 12 percent. SSE winds jump to 25.1 percent, SE to 21.3 percent, and S to 11.9 percent. The strong SE/SSE summer flow begins to dominate again, making dawn sessions the only real option for clean conditions. Water temp is 16.1C and air temps warm up to 16.2C. October is the start of the low season, though occasional winter holdover swells can still deliver memorable days.

Average Spot conditions at The Dunes in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at The Dunes during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at The Dunes for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at The Dunes for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at The Dunes.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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