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Conditions at Victoria Bay in July
July: Midwinter Strength and Southern Ocean Groundswell
July is peak winter, and it shows. Average swell height remains at 8.5ft (2.6m) with the year's longest average period of 12.3s. The offshore wind machine is still in full swing at 60% ideal conditions, with NNW wind at 22% and a healthy NW/WNW/W presence. This is the quintessential winter rhythm of Victoria Bay: big, clean groundswell and offshore-light mornings.
SW swell dominates the spectrum at 26%, SSW at 16%, and S at 6%, with the direct ESE-S window around 11% of the total. The persistent southwest and south-southwest groundswell wraps into the bay and stacks up on the reef, producing hollow, powerful waves in the 6-8ft (1.8-2.4m) range and occasional 10ft (3m) bombs on the bigger swells. The air is cool at 13.8°C, water temp bottoms out around 15.8°C, and precipitation stays modest at 1.22mm/day - keep the hood handy and score.
Average Spot conditions at Victoria Bay in July
Swell history for July
Wind history for July
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Victoria Bay during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Victoria Bay for your next trip in July.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Victoria Bay for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Victoria Bay.