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Warner Beach • Statistics for January

Conditions at Warner Beach in January

January: The Summer Windswell Grind

January is classic mid-summer on the KwaZulu-Natal coast. The average surf height sits at 5ft (1.6m) and the average wave period drops to 8.9s, so most waves are punchy, short-period windswell rather than lined-up groundswell. The swell direction is firmly locked into the E/ESE/SE/SSE quadrant, with E at 23%, ESE 19%, SE 17% and SSE 17%, while most wave heights fall in the 3-6ft (1-2m) range. This is exactly the exposed window of Warner Beach, so the coast sees consistent surf, but the long-period power is largely missing.

Winds are the main issue. Ideal offshore W/WNW/NW/NNW flow occurs only 21% of the time, while the NE/ENE trades dominate around 33%. With the sea breeze kicking in most afternoons, E/ESE/SE winds often add chop and ruin the wave shape. Water temperature is a warm 25°C, air temps average 21.6°C, and rainfall is high at 7.15mm/day. Look for early-morning glass, low tide banks, and occasional E groundswell pulses from tropical lows to make January fun but not firing.

Average Spot conditions at Warner Beach in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Warner Beach during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Warner Beach for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Warner Beach for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Warner Beach.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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