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Conditions at Warner Beach in October
October: Pre-Summer Energy, Less Wind Consistency
October sits at the top end of the low season. The swell is not the problem, the average height is 6ft (1.8m), with well-defined SSE 17%, S 16%, E 16%, SE 15%, ENE 15% and ESE 14% directions. The ENE sector is particularly active, producing 5.9% of waves in the 6-8ft (2-2.5m) class. The problem is the wave period, which drops to a summer-like 9.2s, and the wind. Ideal offshore winds are only 27%, while NE/ENE flow returns to around 27%, and SSE/S/SSW winds add plenty of cross-shore energy.
In October, the sea-breeze regime reasserts itself, and afternoon chop is common. That said, the water is still a pleasant 21.7°C, air temps average 18.2°C, and rain increases to 5.34mm/day as convective showers build. When a strong cold front can still produce a last S/SSE groundswell with W/NW outflow winds, Warner Beach will light up, but those days become less frequent than in May-July.
Average Spot conditions at Warner Beach in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Warner Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Warner Beach for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Warner Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Warner Beach.