Conditions at El Confital in October
October: The Season Fires Back Up
October is when the North Atlantic roars back to life. The average wave period jumps from the summer doldrum range to 11.7s, and the swell height, while still just 3ft (1.0m) on average, is made of much longer lines. The dominant directions are NNW at 36.4%, NNE at 18.4%, NW at 15.0% and N at 13.7%. The longer interval means any west or southwest component that gets into the mix will have real push. This is the beginning of the best season, and the number of Atlantic lows begins to climb quickly.
Winds are good: NE 22.5%, ENE 15.3% and NNE 14.5%, with ideal wind 51% of the time. Water temperature remains warm at 23.6°C, air averages 22.8°C (18.8-29.3°C), and rainfall rises to 0.73 mm/day as the first autumn fronts arrive. Keep an eye on the NAO: a southward-shifting storm track in October can produce El Confital's first truly heavy day of the season.
Average Spot conditions at El Confital in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Confital during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Confital for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Confital for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Confital.