Conditions at El Confital in September
September: The First Signs of Autumn Life
September is an interesting month because the period starts to rebuild even though the height does not: average swell sits at 3ft (1.0m), but the period jumps to 10.7s. The direction is still northern, with NNE at 27.8%, NNW at 27.2%, N at 14.1% and NW at 9.8%, yet the longer period means the ocean has more order underneath the surface. S/SW sources remain scarce, but the developing autumn storm track can occasionally throw a clean pulse toward the islands. When that happens, El Confital's south-facing reef comes alive with fun 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) waves.
Wind is a bright spot: ideal wind is 55% of the time, with NE at 25.2% and NNE at 22.5% providing plenty of groomed conditions. Water temperature is the warmest of the year at 23.8°C, air temperature averages 23.5°C (20.1-30.1°C), and rainfall is still low at 0.31 mm/day. September is the best of the small-wave months and a good time to start watching the Atlantic forecast for the first autumn swell.
Average Spot conditions at El Confital in September
Swell history for September
Wind history for September
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Confital during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Confital for your next trip in September.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Confital for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Confital.