Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Backdoor seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Pacific roars to life as the Aleutian Low strengthens, sending a relentless parade of NW to NNW groundswells directly into the northwest-facing reef at Backdoor. During these months, average swell heights hover in the 2.4m to 2.7m range with long periods of 11-13 seconds, often delivering pumping, barreling waves that are the stuff of legend. The trade wind pattern also favours offshore conditions more frequently, with the easterly and southeasterly flow (E, ESE, SE) blowing cleanly across the lineup, keeping the wave faces smooth and the tubes hollow. January, February, and December are the peak months, with ideal wind frequencies reaching 24-27% – but even on days with some cross-shore influence, the sheer power of the swell makes for memorable sessions.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September represent the transition windows. In April, the swell engine begins to quiet down – average heights drop to 2.2m and periods shorten to 10.3s, but there are still occasional fun, rippable waves in the 1.5-2.5m range from the ENE and NE quadrants. The wind becomes more marginal: easterly trades still dominate, but ideal offshore percentages slip to 16%. September sees a similar pattern, with average heights around 1.7m but periods recovering to 9.2s. The trade winds strengthen in September, boosting the ideal window to 23%, making for some clean, punchy sessions on the better days. These months require a keen eye on the forecast to catch the windows when a good pulse aligns with calm morning trades.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer slams the brakes on the North Pacific storm track. From May through August, average swell heights bottom out at 1.6-1.8m and periods drop to 7.8-9.2s. The swell direction rotates almost exclusively to the E and ENE, which are far from ideal for Backdoor's northwest exposure – these waves are short-period, choppy, and lack the power to wrap in properly. To make matters worse, the trade winds howl, with ideal offshore conditions occurring only 9-21% of the time. July is the absolute low point, with a pitiful 9% ideal wind and the smallest, weakest swell of the year. While there might be the odd fun-size, groveling session on a south wind day, this is primarily a time to save your energy for other spots or wait for the first autumn storms.

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Conditions at Backdoor in July

July: The Absolute Bottom

July hits the seasonal low point. The average swell height is 1.7m (but with very little consistency) and the period drops to 7.8s. The swell is almost entirely from ENE (64.5%) and E (27.8%) – weak, short-period energy that rarely produces a wave over 1.5m. The wind is relentless: ENE (55.0%) and E (39.4%) combine for over 94% of all observations, and ideal offshore conditions are a dismal 9%. Light wind or a rare southerly breeze is your only hope. When those stars align, you might score small, groveling waves in the 0.5-1m range. But honestly, July is the time to find a spot with a south exposure or just take a break.

Average Spot conditions at Backdoor in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Backdoor during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Backdoor for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Backdoor for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Backdoor.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size