Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Belmar seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The heart of the North Atlantic storm track delivers consistent, powerful swells to Belmar. Average wave heights hover around 1.3m with periods often pushing into the 7-8 second range, providing punchy, rideable waves. The dominant swell directions are from the E and ESE, which line up perfectly with our east-southeast facing beach. Meanwhile, synoptic systems frequently trigger strong offshore winds from the W and WNW, cleaning up the faces. This is when Belmar turns on—expect solid, fun-sized surf with occasional pumping days as Nor'easters set up in the ideal fetch.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

During these shoulder months, the ocean is in transition. April still sees a high percentage of E/ESE swell (over 27% combined), but the wind regime becomes more variable with an increase in onshore southerly flow. September benefits from a resurgence of tropical and early-season extratropical energy, with average wave periods peaking at 8.3s—the highest of the year. However, wind consistency drops, and the window for clean offshore conditions narrows. You'll find plenty of fun, rippable days, but the magic isn't as reliable as mid-winter.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles over the Jersey Shore. Average swell heights drop to 0.8–1.0m, and the dominant swell direction shifts to SSE and S—a poor angle for Belmar's exposure. Although the percentage of ideal offshore wind days is actually quite high (up to 50% in July), the waves are often too small and weak to surf with enthusiasm. The average period remains around 7 seconds, but the lack of size and direction means constant groveling. If you're on a log or longboard, there are fun mornings with light westerlies, but for shortboard performance, it's a waiting game until autumn.

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Conditions at Belmar in May

May: Summer Lull Begins

May marks a clear downtrend: average swell drops to 1.0m at 7.2s. The dominant swell shifts to SSE (18.7%) and S (18.3%)—both poor angles for Belmar's exposure—while desirable E swell holds at 15.4%. Offshore wind days remain at 37%, but the waves are typically small and weak. This is longboard season: groveling sliders on E swell mornings with light westerlies can still be fun, but expect mostly 0.5-1m periods.

Average Spot conditions at Belmar in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Belmar during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Belmar for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Belmar for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Belmar.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size