Cabo de San Antonio - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (October - March)

As the North Atlantic storm track fires up, Cabo de San Antonio sees a welcome increase in average swell heights to around 1.1-1.2m. While the predominant swell direction remains from the northeast and east quadrant due to persistent trade winds, the occasional frontal passage can swing winds into a favorable offshore quadrant (N, NNE, NE, NNW), cleaning up the waves. South and southwest swells, though rare, are most likely during this period as old lows track across the Gulf or from distant Southern Hemisphere storms. The average period of 6-7 seconds keeps waves punchy and rideable, but don't expect long-period groundswells often. When the alignment is right, these months offer the best chance for quality surf at this south-facing reef.

Fair Surf Season (April, September)

Transitional months. April sees a drop in average height to 0.9m as the winter pattern weakens. Trade winds remain strong from the east, making offshore conditions less frequent. September, on the fringe of hurricane season, can bring sudden pulses of south to southwest swell from tropical systems in the Gulf, but also the risk of messy onshore winds. Wave periods are short, averaging 6 seconds, so conditions are usually small and choppy, but occasional clean small waves can be found.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

The summer doldrums settle in with average swell heights bottoming out at 0.6-0.7m and periods around 6-7 seconds. The dominant easterly trade winds (E, ESE, SE) blow almost constantly, creating onshore conditions that wreck what little wave energy exists. South swell events are extremely scarce (less than 1% occurrence). During this period, the spot is mostly flat or blown out, making it a poor time for surfing. The only hope is a fleeting tropical disturbance that might bring rare south swell and light winds, but reliability is extremely low.

October: The Turning Point

October marks the beginning of the best surf season as the North Atlantic storm track reignites. Average swell height jumps to 0.9m with a period of 6.2s. Swell direction shows a notable increase from the northeast and north: NE (15.6%), NNE (13.7%), and E (12.4%) are dominant, but south-southwest swell remains steady at 2.2%. Importantly, the number of offshore wind days increases as cold fronts become more frequent, with ideal wind at 18%. The wind direction chart shows a rise in NE (15.1%) and ENE (21.5%) winds, but also more variability. Frontal passages can bring clean north winds for a day or two, setting up decent conditions as small south or southwest swell fills in. Wave heights range from small, fun-sized to fun, good. October is a month of increasing consistency and quality; while still prone to onshore days, the pattern is shifting toward more promising conditions for Cabo de San Antonio.