Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Car-rille seasonal overview

Car-rillo in the Philippines is primarily a windswell-dominated spot with minimal ground swell influence, mostly under 4% year-round. The best surf conditions occur from November to February, when windswell activity is highest (75-83%) and swell size peaks (0.9-1.1m). December stands out with the largest waves (1.1m mean swell size), 83% windswell likelihood, and the most favorable wind conditions (55% good winds). January follows closely with similar swell size (1.0m) and slightly lower but still decent wind stats (49% favorable). Early season (October) and late season (February) offer transitional conditions—October has improving winds (38% good) while February's swell consistency remains solid (69% windswell) despite deteriorating winds. From March through September, conditions weaken significantly: swell probability drops below 70%, mean sizes fall to 0.5-0.8m, and onshore winds dominate (71-86% unfavorable). April-May are particularly poor, with minimal swell (32-37% windswell) and the worst wind stats (81-86% bad). For surfers prioritizing size and consistency, December-January is the clear prime window, though November and February can deliver worthwhile sessions with slightly more wind variability. Avoid mid-year (April-August) unless surfing small, onshore waves is acceptable.

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Conditions at Car-rille in December

December at this surf spot delivers fairly consistent conditions with a focus on medium-sized swells and generally favorable winds for surfing. The average swell height is 1.1m with a decent period of 7.9s, providing manageable yet punchy waves, ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. Most swells come from the N to NNW direction (over 60% of waves in the 0.5–2.5m range), ensuring a steady supply of rideable energy. Smaller swells (0.5–1.5m) dominate, but there’s a solid chance of overhead waves (1.5–2.5m) around 15% of the time, offering variety. Wind conditions are surf-friendly 55% of the time, with lighter ESE/SE breezes (10–20kph) prevailing early in the season and occasional NNE/NNW winds that could bring cross-shore or light onshore effects. Stronger winds (20–30kph) are rare but tend to come from NNE or NNW, potentially creating choppier sessions. Overall, December is reliable with a good mix of mid-sized, clean swells and workable winds—best on NW-NNW swell days with lighter SE/ESE airflow.

Average Spot conditions at Car-rille in December

Swell history for December

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for December

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Car-rille during December. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Car-rille for your next trip in December.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Car-rille for December. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Car-rille.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size