Car-rille - surf spot statistics

Car-rillo in the Philippines is primarily a windswell-dominated spot with minimal ground swell influence, mostly under 4% year-round. The best surf conditions occur from November to February, when windswell activity is highest (75-83%) and swell size peaks (0.9-1.1m). December stands out with the largest waves (1.1m mean swell size), 83% windswell likelihood, and the most favorable wind conditions (55% good winds). January follows closely with similar swell size (1.0m) and slightly lower but still decent wind stats (49% favorable). Early season (October) and late season (February) offer transitional conditions—October has improving winds (38% good) while February's swell consistency remains solid (69% windswell) despite deteriorating winds. From March through September, conditions weaken significantly: swell probability drops below 70%, mean sizes fall to 0.5-0.8m, and onshore winds dominate (71-86% unfavorable). April-May are particularly poor, with minimal swell (32-37% windswell) and the worst wind stats (81-86% bad). For surfers prioritizing size and consistency, December-January is the clear prime window, though November and February can deliver worthwhile sessions with slightly more wind variability. Avoid mid-year (April-August) unless surfing small, onshore waves is acceptable.

January at this surf spot offers generally manageable conditions with an average swell height of 1.0m and a decent 7.5s period, providing relatively clean and rideable waves. The swell direction is predominantly from the N to NNW, which dominates the wave distribution—particularly in the 0.5-1.5m range, accounting for the majority of surfable conditions. Larger waves (1.5-2.5m) occur less frequently but are still present, mostly from the NNW direction. Wind conditions are favorable 49% of the time, with lighter winds (0-20kph) coming from ESE, SE, and NNW being the most common. Stronger winds (20-30kph) are occasional but typically from the NNW or NNE, which could occasionally create choppier surfaces. Overall, January delivers consistent, mid-sized waves with workable wind conditions, making it a decent time for intermediate to advanced surfers, though bigger days may require more skill.