Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Car-rille seasonal overview

Car-rillo in the Philippines is primarily a windswell-dominated spot with minimal ground swell influence, mostly under 4% year-round. The best surf conditions occur from November to February, when windswell activity is highest (75-83%) and swell size peaks (0.9-1.1m). December stands out with the largest waves (1.1m mean swell size), 83% windswell likelihood, and the most favorable wind conditions (55% good winds). January follows closely with similar swell size (1.0m) and slightly lower but still decent wind stats (49% favorable). Early season (October) and late season (February) offer transitional conditions—October has improving winds (38% good) while February's swell consistency remains solid (69% windswell) despite deteriorating winds. From March through September, conditions weaken significantly: swell probability drops below 70%, mean sizes fall to 0.5-0.8m, and onshore winds dominate (71-86% unfavorable). April-May are particularly poor, with minimal swell (32-37% windswell) and the worst wind stats (81-86% bad). For surfers prioritizing size and consistency, December-January is the clear prime window, though November and February can deliver worthwhile sessions with slightly more wind variability. Avoid mid-year (April-August) unless surfing small, onshore waves is acceptable.

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Conditions at Car-rille in May

May at Car-rille offers generally small and inconsistent surf, with an average swell height of 0.5m and a short 5.5s period, indicating weak, mushy waves. The majority of swells come from the NNW and WSW directions, but even these rarely exceed 1m (8.28% and 7.31% respectively in the 0.5-1m range). Larger swells (1.5m+) are rare, making it a challenging month for experienced surfers seeking quality waves. Wind conditions are marginally better, with ideal offshore winds occurring only 14% of the time—mostly light NNE to ENE breezes (0-20kph). However, SE and SSE winds dominate (8.74% and 5.59% at 10-20kph), often creating choppy onshore conditions. Expect mostly knee-high waves with occasional waist-high sets, best suited for beginners or longboarders on wind-protected days. Advanced surfers will find limited opportunities unless chasing small, playful conditions.

Average Spot conditions at Car-rille in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Car-rille during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Car-rille for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Car-rille for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Car-rille.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size