Car-rille - surf spot statistics

Car-rillo in the Philippines is primarily a windswell-dominated spot with minimal ground swell influence, mostly under 4% year-round. The best surf conditions occur from November to February, when windswell activity is highest (75-83%) and swell size peaks (0.9-1.1m). December stands out with the largest waves (1.1m mean swell size), 83% windswell likelihood, and the most favorable wind conditions (55% good winds). January follows closely with similar swell size (1.0m) and slightly lower but still decent wind stats (49% favorable). Early season (October) and late season (February) offer transitional conditions—October has improving winds (38% good) while February's swell consistency remains solid (69% windswell) despite deteriorating winds. From March through September, conditions weaken significantly: swell probability drops below 70%, mean sizes fall to 0.5-0.8m, and onshore winds dominate (71-86% unfavorable). April-May are particularly poor, with minimal swell (32-37% windswell) and the worst wind stats (81-86% bad). For surfers prioritizing size and consistency, December-January is the clear prime window, though November and February can deliver worthwhile sessions with slightly more wind variability. Avoid mid-year (April-August) unless surfing small, onshore waves is acceptable.

October at Car-rille offers surfable waves with an average swell height of 0.9m and a decent period of 7.5s, providing enough energy for fun, albeit smaller conditions. The primary swell direction is NNW, contributing the largest share of rideable waves, particularly in the 0.5-2.5m range (over 40% combined). Smaller contributions come from WNW and SW, adding variety to the mix. Wind conditions are favorable for surfing 38% of the time, with lighter winds (below 20kph) predominating from the E to SE, which should keep surface chop manageable. However, stronger winds occasionally blow from the NNE to NNW, which may degrade wave quality when they align onshore. Expect most waves to be in the waist-to-head-high range (0.5-1.5m), with larger sets (1.5-2.5m) appearing around 10% of the time—ideal for intermediate surfers. Advanced riders may find occasional bigger, cleaner peaks when winds cooperate. Overall, October delivers consistent, playful surf with a mix of directions, though it’s not the most powerful month.