Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Caridad seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The northeast monsoon roars to life during these months, driving consistent, powerful swell from the NE and ENE quadrants directly into the east-facing shores of Caridad. Average wave heights climb from 1.1m in October to a peak of 1.7m in January, with periods often reaching 10 seconds or more, delivering punchy, rideable waves that can turn powerful on the sets. However, the curse of this season lies in the wind: the same NE winds that bring the swell also blow directly onshore, ruining wave quality over 90% of the time. The magic happens when a transient high-pressure system shifts winds to the SW or W, or when a cold front clears the coast, providing those rare, glassy offshore conditions that transform Caridad into a world-class wave. These windows are fleeting (1-3% of the time), but when they align with a solid NE groundswell, the result is firing, heavy surf that leaves a lasting memory.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

As the northeast monsoon weakens in April and May, swell heights drop to a modest 0.8-1.1m, but the wind regime becomes more variable and favorable. The trade winds shift, and southerly, southwesterly, and westerly breezes increase in frequency, creating offshore conditions at Caridad up to 13% of the time in May. Waves are fun-sized and rippable, often clean in the mornings before the seabreeze kicks in. September marks the return of the southwest monsoon's tail end, with ideal offshore wind percentages peaking at 36% and swell building to 0.8m with periods of 9.5s, offering a taste of the coming season's consistency with better wind prospects.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The southwest monsoon dominates the summer months, bringing persistent SW to W winds that blow offshore at Caridad—good news for wind, but bad news for swell. The fetch is limited and the wave heights average a meager 0.7m with periods around 8.4-9.0s, resulting in mostly small, groveling conditions. The only exceptions are rare typhoon-generated swells that track close enough to the Philippines to wrap into the coast, but these often come with strong onshore winds and chaotic seas. For the most part, summer is a time for longboarders and beginners to enjoy clean, tiny waves, while more experienced surfers will want to wait for the autumn transition.

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Conditions at Caridad in July

July: Small but Clean

July remains in the low-season groove with an average swell height of 0.7m and average period of 8.4s—the lowest period of the year. The swell is even more spread out across directions compared to June, with ENE still the leader at 34.8% but now a notable 6.5% from the WSW and 6.1% from the W, suggesting some westerly swell from distant storms. However, most of these are in the 0.5-1m range. The wind pattern continues to improve: ideal offshore wind from SW-WNW rises to 28% of the time, with WSW alone making up 22.5%. This means many days offer glassy, clean conditions, but with waves rarely exceeding knee-high. It’s a month for fun small-wave surfing on longboards or when a typhoon passes to the north, sending a short-lived pulse of energy. Consistency is low, but the rare overhead day can occur if a storm aligns.

Average Spot conditions at Caridad in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Caridad during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Caridad for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Caridad for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Caridad.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size