Caridad seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (October - March)
The northeast monsoon roars to life during these months, driving consistent, powerful swell from the NE and ENE quadrants directly into the east-facing shores of Caridad. Average wave heights climb from 1.1m in October to a peak of 1.7m in January, with periods often reaching 10 seconds or more, delivering punchy, rideable waves that can turn powerful on the sets. However, the curse of this season lies in the wind: the same NE winds that bring the swell also blow directly onshore, ruining wave quality over 90% of the time. The magic happens when a transient high-pressure system shifts winds to the SW or W, or when a cold front clears the coast, providing those rare, glassy offshore conditions that transform Caridad into a world-class wave. These windows are fleeting (1-3% of the time), but when they align with a solid NE groundswell, the result is firing, heavy surf that leaves a lasting memory.
Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)
As the northeast monsoon weakens in April and May, swell heights drop to a modest 0.8-1.1m, but the wind regime becomes more variable and favorable. The trade winds shift, and southerly, southwesterly, and westerly breezes increase in frequency, creating offshore conditions at Caridad up to 13% of the time in May. Waves are fun-sized and rippable, often clean in the mornings before the seabreeze kicks in. September marks the return of the southwest monsoon's tail end, with ideal offshore wind percentages peaking at 36% and swell building to 0.8m with periods of 9.5s, offering a taste of the coming season's consistency with better wind prospects.
Low Surf Season (June - August)
The southwest monsoon dominates the summer months, bringing persistent SW to W winds that blow offshore at Caridad—good news for wind, but bad news for swell. The fetch is limited and the wave heights average a meager 0.7m with periods around 8.4-9.0s, resulting in mostly small, groveling conditions. The only exceptions are rare typhoon-generated swells that track close enough to the Philippines to wrap into the coast, but these often come with strong onshore winds and chaotic seas. For the most part, summer is a time for longboarders and beginners to enjoy clean, tiny waves, while more experienced surfers will want to wait for the autumn transition.
Loading chart...
Conditions at Caridad in October
October: Goldilocks Zone
October is often the best month for surf at Caridad. The average swell height rises to 1.1m and the average period reaches the highest of the year at 10.2s, delivering powerful, long-period groundswell. The swell direction is dominated by NE (49.1%) and NNE (20.0%), with waves frequently in the 0.5-1.5m range, but also a significant chunk of 1.5-2.5m from the NE. This is solid, pumping surf potential. Wind remains friendly, with ideal offshore wind from SW-WNW at 29% of the time (WSW 13%, W 11.4%). The wind is lighter overall, with many days of light SW winds in the afternoon. The frequency of onshore NE winds is still high, but the windows of offshore flow are more common and longer-lasting. When a high-pressure system stalls to the south, you get days of offshore SW breeze combining with a 10-12s NE swell – that is when Caridad truly fires, offering hollow, reeling waves.
Average Spot conditions at Caridad in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Caridad during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Caridad for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Caridad for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Caridad.
