Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Casino Pier seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The brunt of the North Atlantic storm track aims directly at Casino Pier from October through March, delivering average swell heights of 1.2-1.3m and periods that frequently push into the 7-8 second range. During these months, the dominant swell directions rotate through the eastern quadrants (ENE, E, ESE, SE), which align best with the east-facing beach. While offshore wind frequencies hover around 27-35%, the combination of stronger, longer-period groundswells and west-to-northwest wind events (WSW, W, WNW, NW) can produce epic, pumping days – especially in December and January when the jet stream is most active. Look for the classic winter setup: a deep low off the coast, followed by brisk offshore flow, to score clean, hollow waves at the pier.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

These transitional months offer a mixed bag. April and May see average swell heights drop to 1.0-1.2m, with the wave period still hanging around 7.2-7.4s. The percentage of offshore wind improves slightly (29-35%), but the swell becomes increasingly dominated by south and southeast directions (S, SSE, SE) – a less optimal angle for the east-facing pier, resulting in more crumbly, less powerful waves. September marks the first real pulse of autumn energy: average height climbs back to 1.1m, period jumps to 8.3s, and the swell direction spreads back toward the east (ESE, E, SE). Offshore wind is still decent at 36%, making it a prime month for catching the first decent sets before winter fully arrives.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The summer months at Casino Pier are characterized by small, weak surf. Average heights bottom out at 0.8-0.9m, and while the offshore wind frequency peaks at 44-49% (thanks to building southwest and west winds), the swell is overwhelmingly from the south and southeast (SSE, SE, S) – not ideal for the east-facing orientation. The wave periods remain mediocre (6.9-7.5s), meaning most days produce nothing more than knee-high, wind-affected slop. However, occasional tropical storms or hurricanes can spin up short-period east swell, offering brief windows of fun-sized, groveling waves for those willing to wait out the long periods of flatness.

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Conditions at Casino Pier in May

May: Late Spring Lulls

May brings a significant drop in average swell height to 1.0m, though the period holds at 7.2s. The swell direction is overwhelmingly from the southern quadrants: SSE (18.7%), S (18.3%), SE (15.9%), and E (15.4%) – all of which send waves at an unfavorable angle for the east-facing pier. The wave heights are mostly in the 0.5-1m range (groveling), with 1-1.5m only occurring 20-30% of the time. On the bright side, offshore wind frequency jumps to 35%, with SSW (11.7%), SW (9.0%), and W (5.8%) leading the way. These southwest winds are actually cross- to slightly offshore for the pier, cleaning up the surface but doing little to improve wave quality. The result is a long stretch of knee- to waist-high, weak surf – perfect for loggers but disappointing for performance surfing. The occasional east-southeast swell from a late-season storm can surprise, but those days are few and far between.

Average Spot conditions at Casino Pier in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Casino Pier during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Casino Pier for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Casino Pier for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Casino Pier.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size