Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Casino Pier seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The brunt of the North Atlantic storm track aims directly at Casino Pier from October through March, delivering average swell heights of 1.2-1.3m and periods that frequently push into the 7-8 second range. During these months, the dominant swell directions rotate through the eastern quadrants (ENE, E, ESE, SE), which align best with the east-facing beach. While offshore wind frequencies hover around 27-35%, the combination of stronger, longer-period groundswells and west-to-northwest wind events (WSW, W, WNW, NW) can produce epic, pumping days – especially in December and January when the jet stream is most active. Look for the classic winter setup: a deep low off the coast, followed by brisk offshore flow, to score clean, hollow waves at the pier.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

These transitional months offer a mixed bag. April and May see average swell heights drop to 1.0-1.2m, with the wave period still hanging around 7.2-7.4s. The percentage of offshore wind improves slightly (29-35%), but the swell becomes increasingly dominated by south and southeast directions (S, SSE, SE) – a less optimal angle for the east-facing pier, resulting in more crumbly, less powerful waves. September marks the first real pulse of autumn energy: average height climbs back to 1.1m, period jumps to 8.3s, and the swell direction spreads back toward the east (ESE, E, SE). Offshore wind is still decent at 36%, making it a prime month for catching the first decent sets before winter fully arrives.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The summer months at Casino Pier are characterized by small, weak surf. Average heights bottom out at 0.8-0.9m, and while the offshore wind frequency peaks at 44-49% (thanks to building southwest and west winds), the swell is overwhelmingly from the south and southeast (SSE, SE, S) – not ideal for the east-facing orientation. The wave periods remain mediocre (6.9-7.5s), meaning most days produce nothing more than knee-high, wind-affected slop. However, occasional tropical storms or hurricanes can spin up short-period east swell, offering brief windows of fun-sized, groveling waves for those willing to wait out the long periods of flatness.

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Conditions at Casino Pier in October

October: Fall Fury

October brings the full force of autumn. Average swell height reaches 1.2m, with a period of 7.7s. The swell direction is well-distributed across the east: ESE (14.6%), E (13.5%), SE (11.3%), and ENE (8.2%) lead the charge. This is the sweet spot for Casino Pier – direct east swell energy hitting the beach with minimal refraction. Offshore wind frequency is 35%, with WNW (9.4%), W (8.0%), and NW (8.0%) providing the primary clean-wind windows. The interaction between deepening lows over the North Atlantic and high pressure to the north creates classic fall setups: long-period groundswells with offshore westerly winds. On these days, the pier can fire with powerful, lined-up waves that hold up for long rides. The occasional hurricane swell adds an extra dimension of size and power. October is consistently one of the best months for quality surf.

Average Spot conditions at Casino Pier in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Casino Pier during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Casino Pier for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Casino Pier for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Casino Pier.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size