Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Cerro Azul seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - September)

The austral winter roars to life as the South Pacific storm track intensifies, delivering consistent groundswell from the Southern Ocean. Average wave heights climb to 2.1m with periods averaging 13 seconds, providing solid, powerful surf. While the dominant swell direction is from the south-southwest and southwest – not directly in the spot's NNW-facing window – the long-period energy refracts around the headlands and wraps into the bay, offering punchy, rideable waves. Importantly, offshore winds from the south and southwest prevail over 95% of the time, keeping the faces clean and groomed. This is the prime window for surfers seeking consistent size and power at Cerro Azul.

Fair Surf Season (April & October - November)

During these transitional months, the swell heights ease slightly to 1.8-1.9m, but periods remain in the 13-second range. The same south-southwest swell trains persist, and the synoptic pattern keeps the wind blowing offshore from the southern quadrant. The surf is solid and rippable, though slightly less consistent than the peak winter months. Still, when a robust low-pressure system spins up in the Southern Ocean, expect a few days of pumping waves with clean conditions.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

The austral summer sees a relative lull in wave energy as the storm track shifts poleward. Average swell heights drop to 1.6-1.8m, but periods remain surprisingly long at 13 seconds thanks to distant southern hemisphere swells. The wind stays stubbornly offshore from the south, ensuring glassy surfaces every morning. Waves trend smaller and less powerful, making this a time for smaller boards and fun-sized, rippable waves rather than charging large sets. While not the peak season, you can still score clean, punchy waves on the right day.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Cerro Azul in October

October: Transition to Smaller Swell

October sees the first signs of the winter fade, with average swell height dropping to 1.9m and periods back up to 13.2s. Swell is still primarily from the south-southwest (71%), with S at 18%. The 1.5-2.0m range is the most common (38%). Offshore winds remain strong at 95%, with S (48%) and SSW (44%) winds dominating. The combination of long-period energy and clean wind produces excellent wave quality, even if the size is a notch below winter peak. A great transitional month for those who enjoy power without the max size.

Average Spot conditions at Cerro Azul in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cerro Azul during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cerro Azul for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cerro Azul for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cerro Azul.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size