Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Chacahua seasonal overview

Chacahua, Mexico, is a consistent year-round surf destination with predominantly ground swells, ensuring reliable wave activity. The best months for surfers typically balance solid swell size and favorable wind conditions. From November to February, the swell is slightly smaller (1.0–1.2m), but the wind conditions are at their best, with good winds occurring 50–59% of the time, making these months ideal for cleaner, more rideable waves. March to September sees an increase in swell size (peaking at 1.6m in June and September), but wind conditions deteriorate, with bad winds prevailing 55–67% of the time, particularly from April to June. While these months offer more powerful waves, onshore winds can frequently disrupt conditions. October marks a transition, with improving winds (50% good) and a manageable 1.4m swell. Overall, the prime window for the best combination of wave quality and wind conditions is from November to February, with December and January standing out due to their optimal balance of swell consistency, manageable size, and cleaner winds. However, advanced surfers seeking larger waves might target May–September, albeit with less predictable wind conditions.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Chacahua in January

January at Chacahua delivers consistent surf with an average swell height of 1.0m and a solid 13.8s period, providing well-spaced, clean waves. The dominant swell direction is from the SSW (35.4% of the time in the 0.5-1m range and 27.2% in 1-1.5m), ensuring good shape with occasional overhead sets when larger swells arrive. Wind conditions are favorable 59% of the time, mostly light to moderate (under 20kph) from the NE to SE, keeping things clean for most sessions. However, stronger NE winds (9.6% at 10-20kph and 1.7% at 20-30kph) can occasionally create chop. Expect the most rideable waves in the 0.5-1.5m range (80% of the time), with the best days when SW swell aligns with light offshore or cross-shore winds. Solid intermediate to advanced conditions, though bigger days are rare. Watch for the occasional ENE or E windswell mixing in for variety.

Average Spot conditions at Chacahua in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Chacahua during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Chacahua for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Chacahua for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Chacahua.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size