Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Desert Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The Atlantic winter machine fires on all cylinders from October through March, delivering a relentless stream of powerful NW-to-WNW groundswells to Desert Point. During these months, the average swell height hovers around the 2m mark with periods consistently above 12 seconds, providing the kind of long-period, organized energy that this exposed NW-facing reef thrives on. The real key, however, is the wind: a robust high-pressure system often sets up over the Iberian Peninsula, funnelling offshore flows from the SE and SSE across the Moroccan coast. January and December see the highest percentage of glassy-to-light offshore conditions (over 50%), which is precisely when Desert Point transforms into a world-class, hollow left-hander. This is prime time for pushing the limits on a step-up board.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

As the seasons transition, the consistency of swell and wind starts to wobble. April and May see a noticeable drop in average wave period (10.9s and 9.5s respectively), indicating a mix of weakening groundswell and more prevalent windswell. The NW and NNW swell directions still dominate, but the wave heights begin to shrink, and the frequency of clean offshore winds drops sharply. September, while still part of the Atlantic hurricane season, offers a glimmer of hope with occasional long-period pulses from distant storms. However, the trade winds tend to strengthen during these shoulder months, and the percentage of ideal offshore winds falls into the 15-22% range, making it a gamble. When it aligns—typically with a strong high-pressure ridge extending south—the waves can still be excellent, but patience is required.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The summer months represent the true off-season at Desert Point. The North Atlantic storm track retreats far north, and the predominant swell source becomes low-energy NNW windswell generated by persistent trade winds in the open ocean. Average wave periods drop to 8-9 seconds, producing weak, sectiony waves that rarely hold a proper line. Meanwhile, the thermal low over the Sahara strengthens the onshore component of the wind—dominant NW and WNW breezes that ruin the wave face and create choppy, bumpy conditions. With ideal surfable wind percentages hovering around a dismal 10-13%, this is the time to either enjoy the rare, small fun-sized glassy dawn sessions with a groveler, or simply take a break from surfing and explore Morocco's cultural riches. The swell is simply too small and weak for Desert Point to show its true potential.

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Conditions at Desert Point in July

July: Micro Swell and Consistent Onshores

July offers little respite. The average swell is 1.5m with a period of 8.1s—the lowest of the year. Swell direction is almost exclusively NNW (96.1%), with the vast majority of waves in the 1-1.5m range (44.9%) and 1.5-2m (33.7%). Despite the relatively higher percentage of 1.5-2m, the period is so short that the waves lack power. Onshore winds dominate: NW (30.2%) and WNW (20.9%) blow consistently, often at 10-20kph, meaning the surface is almost always choppy. Only 11% of the time do we see ideal offshore flows from the SE/SSE. The rare clean window might coincide with a passing tropical wave or a temporary ridge, but these are fleeting. July is the month to accept that Desert Point is mostly flat and windy.

Average Spot conditions at Desert Point in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Desert Point during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Desert Point for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Desert Point for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Desert Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size