Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Desert Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The Atlantic winter machine fires on all cylinders from October through March, delivering a relentless stream of powerful NW-to-WNW groundswells to Desert Point. During these months, the average swell height hovers around the 2m mark with periods consistently above 12 seconds, providing the kind of long-period, organized energy that this exposed NW-facing reef thrives on. The real key, however, is the wind: a robust high-pressure system often sets up over the Iberian Peninsula, funnelling offshore flows from the SE and SSE across the Moroccan coast. January and December see the highest percentage of glassy-to-light offshore conditions (over 50%), which is precisely when Desert Point transforms into a world-class, hollow left-hander. This is prime time for pushing the limits on a step-up board.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

As the seasons transition, the consistency of swell and wind starts to wobble. April and May see a noticeable drop in average wave period (10.9s and 9.5s respectively), indicating a mix of weakening groundswell and more prevalent windswell. The NW and NNW swell directions still dominate, but the wave heights begin to shrink, and the frequency of clean offshore winds drops sharply. September, while still part of the Atlantic hurricane season, offers a glimmer of hope with occasional long-period pulses from distant storms. However, the trade winds tend to strengthen during these shoulder months, and the percentage of ideal offshore winds falls into the 15-22% range, making it a gamble. When it aligns—typically with a strong high-pressure ridge extending south—the waves can still be excellent, but patience is required.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The summer months represent the true off-season at Desert Point. The North Atlantic storm track retreats far north, and the predominant swell source becomes low-energy NNW windswell generated by persistent trade winds in the open ocean. Average wave periods drop to 8-9 seconds, producing weak, sectiony waves that rarely hold a proper line. Meanwhile, the thermal low over the Sahara strengthens the onshore component of the wind—dominant NW and WNW breezes that ruin the wave face and create choppy, bumpy conditions. With ideal surfable wind percentages hovering around a dismal 10-13%, this is the time to either enjoy the rare, small fun-sized glassy dawn sessions with a groveler, or simply take a break from surfing and explore Morocco's cultural riches. The swell is simply too small and weak for Desert Point to show its true potential.

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Conditions at Desert Point in November

November: Consistent Quality Builds

November solidifies the good surf season. The average swell height reaches 1.9m with a period of 12.2s, indicating a steady diet of long-period groundswell. Swell comes predominantly from NNW (42.6%) and NW (32.1%), with a healthy chunk of waves in the 1.5-2.5m range. The wind picture is bright: ideal offshore conditions now occur 48% of the time, with SE and SSE winds dominating. The decrease in onshore flow (NW/WNW drops to 18.7%) means cleaner conditions more frequently. Strong low-pressure systems in the North Atlantic are now regularly sending pulse after pulse of W and WNW swell. This is prime surf territory, with consistent, powerful waves and a high percentage of glassy conditions.

Average Spot conditions at Desert Point in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Desert Point during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Desert Point for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Desert Point for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Desert Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size