Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Dracula's seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during the autumn and winter months, driving consistent, powerful groundswells toward the Moroccan coast. From October through March, average wave heights hover between 2.0 and 2.2m with long periods from 11.6 to 13.3 seconds, delivering a steady supply of pumping, heavy surf at Dracula's. The dominant swell directions shift primarily from the NW to NNW – slightly north of the optimal SW-WNW window, but the beach's WSW exposure and favorable bathymetry still capture plenty of energy, especially when the swell has west in it. Offshore winds are reliable during this period as the Azores High strengthens and pressure gradients tighten, creating frequent spells of clean, glassy conditions. With 52-60% of the time offering ideal wind from the NE, ENE, E, and ESE quadrants, these six months are unequivocally the prime window for scoring Dracula's at its best.

Fair Surf Season (April, May & September)

As the transition seasons settle in, the swell machine begins to slow but still delivers rideable waves. April and May see average heights dip to 1.8-2.0m and periods shorten into the 9-11 second range, resulting in more average, punchy surf. The swell direction becomes increasingly dominated by NNW winds, which can be a bit too north for ideal lineup configuration, though wrap-around energy still works. September sees a resurgence as autumn lows start forming in the North Atlantic, bumping periods back up to 10.1s and heights to 1.5m. However, wind quality is less consistent than in winter – ideal offshore wind percentages drop to 37-43% during these months, meaning more onshore flow from the WNW and NW can blow out the waves. Still, with careful timing, you can find solid, fun-sized sessions.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer brings the quietest period to Dracula's as the North Atlantic storm track retreats northward. Average swell heights bottom out at 1.6m and periods shrink to 7.8-8.4 seconds, producing mainly choppy, low, messy conditions. The swell is almost exclusively from the NNW (over 90% of the total energy in July and August), which is far from optimal for the WSW-facing beach, resulting in weak, inconsistent waves. On the bright side, wind quality improves slightly in July and August to 43-44% ideal, with persistent thermal-driven offshore breezes from the north and east. But even with clean winds, the lack of size and period makes for a groveling session at best. For serious surf, summer is best spent chasing south swells elsewhere or waiting for the autumn revival.

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Conditions at Dracula's in October

October: Season in Full Swing

October sees a significant ramp-up in both swell size and quality. Average height climbs to 1.8m, and the period lengthens to 11.6 seconds – solid powerful, long period groundswell. The swell direction begins to shift back toward the optimal window: NNW (53.1%) still leads, but NW (30.4%) is strong, and WNW (3.7%) gets a foothold. This mixture means more west component in the swell, and Dracula's starts to see its classic powerful, hollow bowls. Wind quality improves to 52% ideal, with the N (11.6%), NNE (7.4%), E (7.4%) and ENE (5.6%) directions offering clean offshore conditions. The North Atlantic is again generating strong extratropical storms, and the NAO index often becomes negative in October, steering storm tracks toward the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. The result is a dramatic increase in consistent, quality surf. October is a prime month: the water is still warm from summer, the crowds are thinner than in winter, and the surf is firing regularly. Get ready for pumping, heavy sessions.

Average Spot conditions at Dracula's in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Dracula's during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Dracula's for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Dracula's for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Dracula's.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size