Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Elands Bay seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The winter months bring the most consistent and powerful swell to Elands Bay, as the South Atlantic storm track fires up. Average swell heights climb to 1.5-1.7m with periods averaging 12s+, delivering solid, punchy waves. The wind regime shifts to favor southerly and southeasterly offshore flows, with ideal conditions occurring 37-42% of the time. This is when the combination of strong SW-WSW swell and clean offshore winds produces the most reliable surfing.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September serve as transition months. April sees the onset of more consistent swell, but ideal wind drops to 39% as the wind pattern fluctuates. September still has moderate swell heights (1.5m) but a lower percentage of favorable offshore winds (34%), making it a hit-or-miss period.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

Summer months from October to March are the least reliable. Swell heights drop to 1.2-1.3m and periods hover around 11-12s, resulting in fun-sized but less powerful waves. Moreover, the wind is offshore only 22-33% of the time, with frequent northwesterly and onshore winds that spoil the shape. This is the season for small-wave boards and patience.

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Conditions at Elands Bay in December

December: Summer Doldrums

December rounds out the year with the lowest reliability. Average swell height is 1.3m, period 11.7s, and offshore winds clock in at just 22% of the time – the lowest of the year. The swell is again predominantly SW (57.2%) and WSW (37.1%), but the wind is often a problem, with NW to N winds spoiling the surface. When the S wind does blow, the waves can be fun and clean, but these windows are brief and infrequent. This is the true low season for surf at Elands Bay. If you are in the water, you are likely sharing it with only a handful of optimists.”

Average Spot conditions at Elands Bay in December

Swell history for December

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for December

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Elands Bay during December. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Elands Bay for your next trip in December.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Elands Bay for December. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Elands Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size