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Elands Bay - surf spot statistics
Elands Bay seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (May - August)
The winter months bring the most consistent and powerful swell to Elands Bay, as the South Atlantic storm track fires up. Average swell heights climb to 1.5-1.7m with periods averaging 12s+, delivering solid, punchy waves. The wind regime shifts to favor southerly and southeasterly offshore flows, with ideal conditions occurring 37-42% of the time. This is when the combination of strong SW-WSW swell and clean offshore winds produces the most reliable surfing.
Fair Surf Season (April & September)
April and September serve as transition months. April sees the onset of more consistent swell, but ideal wind drops to 39% as the wind pattern fluctuates. September still has moderate swell heights (1.5m) but a lower percentage of favorable offshore winds (34%), making it a hit-or-miss period.
Low Surf Season (October - March)
Summer months from October to March are the least reliable. Swell heights drop to 1.2-1.3m and periods hover around 11-12s, resulting in fun-sized but less powerful waves. Moreover, the wind is offshore only 22-33% of the time, with frequent northwesterly and onshore winds that spoil the shape. This is the season for small-wave boards and patience.
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Conditions at Elands Bay in October
October: Swell Fades, Wind Shifts
October is the gateway to the summer lull. Average swell height drops to 1.3m, and the period to 11.8s. The swell mix is still SW (56.6%) and WSW (34.0%), but the energy is noticeably weaker. The ideal wind percentage falls to 29%, with the return of summer onshore flows from the NW. Clean, offshore days become fewer and farther between. This is a shoulder month best suited for those itching for a small-wave fix on a longboard or fish. The rare combination of a small but long-period WSW swell and a strong S wind can still deliver fun, rippable walls.
Average Spot conditions at Elands Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Elands Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Elands Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Elands Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Elands Bay.