Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

El Porto seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - February)

The North Pacific winter machine fires up, sending consistent, long-period W and WSW swell toward the Southern California coast. El Porto, with its west-southwest exposure, catches the brunt of these powerful groundswells. Average wave heights hover in the 0.8-0.9m range, but pulses easily push into the 1-1.5m fun zone and occasionally punch into the 1.5-2.5m pumping range. The wind regime is at its most favorable, with offshore flow from the NE and E quadrants occurring over 45% of the time, often grooming the waves to perfection. This is the prime window for quality surf at El Porto.

Fair Surf Season (October & March - April)

The transition months offer a mix. October sees the first stirrings of winter swell, but heights are still modest (avg 0.7m) and ideal wind drops to 39%. March and April retain solid swell from W and WSW with averages around 0.9m, but the offshore wind frequency declines to 35-38%. You'll still find plenty of rideable waves, especially when a strong cold front passes and sets up clean conditions before the next onshore push.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

Summer brings a dramatic shift. Swell from the North Pacific all but disappears, replaced by weaker, shorter-period SW and WSW windswell. Average heights remain in the 0.7-0.8m range, but the dominant wind becomes onshore from the SW and W, with ideal offshore wind dropping to just 24-31%. The combination of smaller waves and frequent afternoon sea breezes makes for mostly mushy, sub-par conditions. Early mornings can still offer clean windows, but consistent quality is hard to come by.

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Conditions at El Porto in January

January: Peak Winter Power

January is the heart of the North Pacific storm track. The average wave period sits at a solid 12.4s, indicating powerful long-period groundswells. Swell direction is heavily dominated by west (58.9%) and west-southwest (27.6%), with some southwest contributions. This aligns perfectly with El Porto's WSW exposure, delivering consistent, lined-up waves. Heights average 0.8m, but the distribution shows a significant percentage in the 0.5-1m (42.2% from W) and 1-1.5m (9.9% from W) categories, with occasional bigger sets. Wind is ideal 51% of the time, with frequent offshore flow from the north and northeast quadrants clearing the surface. A classic winter month for quality surf.

Average Spot conditions at El Porto in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Porto during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Porto for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Porto for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Porto.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size