Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Ericeira seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life from October through March, delivering the most consistent and powerful swell to Ericeira's west-facing coastline. During these months, average wave heights hover between 2.0m and 2.6m, with periods often exceeding 12 seconds — classic long-period groundswell generated by frequent extratropical storms traversing the North Atlantic. The NAO index often shifts negative, steering stronger, more organized low-pressure systems toward the Iberian Peninsula. Offshore wind conditions improve as well, with ideal wind percentages climbing to 24-28%, typically from the north and northwest (NO, ONO). This creates lined-up, hollow waves at Ericeira's world-class reef and beach breaks. This is the time to chase big, powerful surf.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September serve as transitional windows. Swell heights drop slightly to 1.6-2.0m and periods shorten to 10.5-11.1 seconds as the storm track begins to shift. However, the combination of moderate long-period and shorter-period windswell still provides plenty of rideable days. The wind becomes more variable — ideal percentages fall to 17-20% — with more spring-like westerly and northerly flows. Expect fun, rippable waves on good days, especially when a passing low taps into the northern Atlantic swell window. These months reward flexible scheduling and a keen eye on the charts.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

From May through August, Ericeira experiences its quietest surf. Average swell heights drop to 1.4-1.7m and periods shorten to 8.5-9.9 seconds, dominated by local windswell from the north-northwest (NNW, NW). The wind regime shifts dramatically: the Portuguese trade wind pattern strengthens, blowing 20-40kph from the north up to 44% of the time, creating choppy onshore conditions for the west-facing breaks. Ideal offshore wind percentages fall to a mere 7-13%, making clean waves a rare commodity. While smaller days can offer fun, groveling sessions for those on the right equipment, the real heavy moments are few and far between. Summer surf here is best tackled with a longboard or a forgiving fish, and a good dose of patience.

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Conditions at Ericeira in July

July: Peak Summer Doldrums

July is the epitome of the summer slump. The average swell height drops to 1.4m, and the period shortens to 8.5s — the lowest of the year. The swell is almost entirely from the NNW (54.2%) and NW (33.0%), with a tiny amount of WNW (9.2%). Wave heights are heavily concentrated in the 1-1.5m range (42.5%) and 0.5-1m (20.5%). There is virtually no swell over 2m (1.6% total). Ideal wind conditions remain abysmal at 7%, the lowest of any month. The north wind blows 42.4% of the time, with speeds frequently 20-40kph (34.7%). This combination of small swell and onshore wind results in mostly messy, unrideable conditions at the main breaks. However, on rare days when a weak low-pressure system drifts south and the wind shifts to a lighter easterly (E, ESE, SE totalling 0.4% of the time) — or when the north wind eases — you might find clean, waist-high waves at a protected break. July is for the die-hard surfers or those willing to explore alternate spots.

Average Spot conditions at Ericeira in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ericeira during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ericeira for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ericeira for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ericeira.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size