Ericeira seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (October - March)
The North Atlantic roars to life from October through March, delivering the most consistent and powerful swell to Ericeira's west-facing coastline. During these months, average wave heights hover between 2.0m and 2.6m, with periods often exceeding 12 seconds — classic long-period groundswell generated by frequent extratropical storms traversing the North Atlantic. The NAO index often shifts negative, steering stronger, more organized low-pressure systems toward the Iberian Peninsula. Offshore wind conditions improve as well, with ideal wind percentages climbing to 24-28%, typically from the north and northwest (NO, ONO). This creates lined-up, hollow waves at Ericeira's world-class reef and beach breaks. This is the time to chase big, powerful surf.
Fair Surf Season (April & September)
April and September serve as transitional windows. Swell heights drop slightly to 1.6-2.0m and periods shorten to 10.5-11.1 seconds as the storm track begins to shift. However, the combination of moderate long-period and shorter-period windswell still provides plenty of rideable days. The wind becomes more variable — ideal percentages fall to 17-20% — with more spring-like westerly and northerly flows. Expect fun, rippable waves on good days, especially when a passing low taps into the northern Atlantic swell window. These months reward flexible scheduling and a keen eye on the charts.
Low Surf Season (May - August)
From May through August, Ericeira experiences its quietest surf. Average swell heights drop to 1.4-1.7m and periods shorten to 8.5-9.9 seconds, dominated by local windswell from the north-northwest (NNW, NW). The wind regime shifts dramatically: the Portuguese trade wind pattern strengthens, blowing 20-40kph from the north up to 44% of the time, creating choppy onshore conditions for the west-facing breaks. Ideal offshore wind percentages fall to a mere 7-13%, making clean waves a rare commodity. While smaller days can offer fun, groveling sessions for those on the right equipment, the real heavy moments are few and far between. Summer surf here is best tackled with a longboard or a forgiving fish, and a good dose of patience.
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Conditions at Ericeira in October
October: Autumn Arrives in Force
October sees a dramatic surge in surf size and quality. The average swell height reaches 2.0m and the period lengthens to 11.4s — powerful, long-period swell is back. The swell direction is more spread across the optimal quadrant: NW at 30.6%, WNW at 18.6%, NNW at 19.5%, and a notable increase in W (6.7%) and even WSW (2.0%). Wave heights distribute nicely across the 1.5-2.5m range (pumping) with 1.5-2m at 29.6% and 2-2.5m at 20.0%. Over 2.5m is still rare (1.3%) but present. Ideal wind conditions are solid at 26%, as the north wind (N at 21.4%) remains moderate, and easterly winds (NE, E, SE totalling 12.2% but lighter) offer more offshore potential. The low-pressure track is now active, firing swells from the northwest and west. October is classic Ericeira: solid swell, clean conditions on the right days, and still warm water. This is a peak month for experienced surfers seeking consistent, high-quality waves.
Average Spot conditions at Ericeira in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ericeira during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ericeira for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ericeira for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ericeira.
