Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Esterillos seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - April)

The dry season delivers the most consistent offshore winds at Esterillos. As the North American high pressure system strengthens, it funnels stable north-northwest winds across the Central Pacific coast, creating clean, glassy conditions for the south-facing beach. Swell from the SSW and SW is ever-present, with periods averaging 12-14 seconds. While wave heights are modest (mostly 0.5-1.5m), the combination of crisp offshore wind and long-period groundswell produces fun, rippable waves. February and March are particularly reliable, with over 40% ideal wind windows.

Fair Surf Season (May - June & November)

These shoulder months see a transition in the trade wind pattern. The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) begins its migration, weakening the northerly flow and allowing more southerly winds to creep in. Swell energy picks up noticeably, with average heights climbing to 1.2-1.4m and periods still in the 13-14 second range. However, onshore winds from the S and SW become more frequent, cutting the quality factor. Still, savvy surfers can pick off clean morning sessions before the seabreeze kicks in. May offers the best balance of size and occasional offshore windows.

Low Surf Season (July - October)

The heart of the rainy season brings the largest swell of the year, with average heights around 1.4m and plenty of 1.5-2m+ pulses from the South Pacific. However, the wind picture deteriorates significantly. Southerly and southwesterly winds dominate, blowing directly onshore and causing messy, choppy conditions. Ideal offshore wind drops to just 26-28%. The wave period also decreases slightly, settling around 12-13 seconds. While there are still excellent days when a strong high pressure system stalls over the Caribbean, they are the exception rather than the rule. Most of the time, expect lumpy, wind-affected surf that requires a keen eye and flexible schedule.

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Conditions at Esterillos in August

August: Similar Story

August mirrors July with a 1.4m average swell and 13.2s period. Swell from SSW (90.2%) and SW (6.9%) continues. Ideal wind ticks up slightly to 28%, but the overall wind pattern is still dominated by southerly components. The proportion of 1.5-2m waves is solid at 23.5%, so there is plenty of power. However, choppy, bumpy surfaces are the norm. Patience is required, but August can still produce epic sessions when a strong high pressure builds in from the north.

Average Spot conditions at Esterillos in August

Swell history for August

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for August

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Esterillos during August. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Esterillos for your next trip in August.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Esterillos for August. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Esterillos.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size